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Stand on My Shoulders and Tell Me What You See

Hillary Clinton and Her Credibility Problem

When you vote to authorize going to war, and then criticize the person who requested the vote for taking you up on your authorization…you have a credibility problem.

When you say that special interests in Washington are the problem, but take more money from special interests than anyone…you have a credibility problem.

When you agree that since Florida and Michigan broke party rules and that their vote won’t count, and then you threaten to sue to count their vote after you win uncontested…you have a credibility problem.

When you know the rules of the caucus process and in many cases your husband helped to set them up, and then complain that they are unfair after losing 11 of 12 caucuses…you have a credibility problem.

When your campaign manager and your husband helps to set up the Texas voting process, and then you complain that they aren’t somehow fair…you have a credibility problem.

When your husband takes a $100 million donation from a shady businessman after you sell out to a dictator to get him the business, and then try to hide where you get your money from Democratic voters…you have a credibility problem.

When you lose 24 of 36 contests including 12 in a row, and it is mathematically impossible for you catch up in pledged delegates, but say that one win means that your opponent can’t close…you have a credibility problem.

There’s a reason people don’t like Hillary Clinton and never have. It has nothing to do with her gender, race, or her husband. Hillary Clinton has a credibility problem.

March 3, 2008 Posted by infogiant | Politics | | 4 Comments

Why You Should Vote in the Texas Caucus

I previously gave an explanation of the Texas voting procedures, but wanted to give a bit more information for those who are voting on March 4 and/or plan to caucus in the evening.

First, where do you caucus? You caucus at the same place that you are required to vote on March 4. While you could early vote up to February 29 at any polling location, you have a specific place that you vote and caucus on March 4 (click on this text to find out your location).

Second, why should you caucus? Well, 1/3 of your vote comes from the caucus…so, unless you just partially want your vote to count, you should plan to go out to caucus at 7:00. Since a much greater majority will be voting in Texas in the Primary, showing up to Caucus will actually help whichever candidate much more than your actual primary vote. So, while the primary vote may count for 2/3 of the delegates, your individual vote will be worth significantly less than your Caucus vote. I’ve made a chart with a best guess estimate as to the Democratic voter turnout for both the primary and the caucus which shows the impact of your vote in each:

Total Vote

Your % of the Vote Total

Delegate Apportionment

Your % of the Delegate Total

Primary

4,000,000

0.000025%

65.28%

0.000016%

Caucus

400,000

0.000250%

34.72%

0.000087%

This chart reveals in this scenario of total votes cast that while the primary is worth twice the amount of delegates, showing up for the caucus is worth five times the impact.

Good luck!

Update: I’ve also added my final election prediction for Texas.

March 3, 2008 Posted by infogiant | Politics | | 4 Comments