Delegate math:

I thought you’d like to see Chuck Todd’s delegate math after last night.  Of course, you could have had it before the debate by reading the I.G. 

*** The Delegate math: After last night’s contests, here’s where things stand: The NBC News Hard Count is Obama 1,168, Clinton 1,018. There are 53 delegates unallocated, including 19 in MD, 10 each in CO and GA, 6 in WI, 4 in HI, and one each in DC, TN, NY and IL. We estimate a conservative 27-26 split here. The Superdelegate Count: Clinton 257 versus Obama 185. That’s a grand total of: Obama 1,355, Clinton 1,276. Counting only the superdelegates he has now, plus his pledged delegates, Obama needs 65% of remaining PLEDGED delegates to hit the magic 2025 number. Reaching that is probably unrealistic, but when you add in the unaffiliated 353 superdelegates (76 of whom are not yet known yet and won’t be appointed until April, May and June), his magic percentage number is down to 48%. On the flip side, Clinton needs to win 58% of all remaining pledged delegates simply to get the pledged delegate lead back. Forget 2025. And if you assume Obama wins Vermont, Wyoming, Mississippi, North Carolina, Oregon, Montana, and South Dakota, then the magic percentage number in the states Clinton wins rises to 65% — SIMPLY TO GET THE PLEDGED DELEGATE LEAD BACK…

Is Hillary Getting a Free Pass?

Hillary’s campaign has implied to reporters over the past several months that Barack Obama is getting a free pass and isn’t being hit hard enough with real questions.  The problem is, when you don’t have a history of taking money from lobbyists, then there’s not a whole lot of hard hitting questions to worry about.  Yes, Obama may not have a resume of accomplishments in the Senate, but the Senate doesn’t have many accomplishments as a whole in the past, I don’t know, 40 years.

So, the question is, who is really getting the free pass?  As I mentioned to one of my loyal readers yesterday when they asked if Hillary could still win, “Remember that time when Hillary won a state?  That was neat.”  Point being, if anyone other than Hillary had lost 10 straight contests, and NONE by a margin of less than 17 points, don’t you think they would have already said, “you’re done”…?

 The only states Hillary can really boast about at this point are Massachusetts, California, New York, and New Jersey.  ZERO of these states did she win by a margin of more than 17 points.  That’s correct, even in her home state she won by only 17 points…and even that margin is in question due to Barack getting NO VOTES in 80 election districts on election night, including the cotton white neighborhoods of Harlem and Brooklyn.

In fact, the only state of significance Hillary has won other than her home state and states that had a 30 point lead and absentee voting up to a month before the candidates started campaigning there (CA and Mass), was New Jersey. Obama netted more delegates out of Idaho - 12, Kansas - 14, and Minnessota - 24, than Hillary did from Jersey - 10.

Hillary and her campaign may want to blame the media or Bill, but the truth is, the problem is the message and the messenger. Without the name, she’d have been done after Iowa.

Gallup Reports Latino’s Shifting (or floating as I said below) to Obama

Conclusion?  Texas blowout.  Maybe the firewall is for Obama.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/104428/Obama-Gaining-Among-MiddleAged-Women-Hispanics.aspx